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Please find our updated analysis here.
After two profit warnings this year, the bonds have gone into freefall, quoted at c.40% in the last couple of weeks. The quantity of the profit warnings has
After Standard Profil’s Q3 results, Moody downgraded the bonds to Caa3 from Caa1, coupled with a negative outlook. This is primarily driven by the
Volume, volume and more importantly, the lack of volume. Standard Profil reported disappointing results yesterday, with revenue down 9% from
Very disappointing Q3 results from Standard Profil, with revenue down 14%. Not surprisingly, this had a larger impact on EBITDA, with EBITDA
This is very much a non-news story, with S&P catching up with the rest of the market and placing Standard Profil’s bonds on
Following the July profit warning due to weaker OEM production levels and the upcoming RCF and bond maturities, Standard Profil reported that it had
Other auto suppliers are also starting to feel the pinch due to the continued slowdown of electrification and lower production forecasts
I've attached our updated analysis here.
It’s back to a bet on OEM volumes and sponsor support. In the release, there was more Company background about improving market share but with leverage
Standard Profil has been without a CFO since June when Otto Tomaschek resigned. The original replacement, Gunter Hiller, could not leave
Standard Profil management again reiterated their aim of refinancing the RCF (due April 2025) and their HY bond (due May 2026) together, before
In early July, Standard Profil issued a trading and outlook update, reflecting the recent BEV sales slowdown by some OEM customers, across the market specifically
Please find our updated model here.
The Company continues to make slow progress on improving its Gross Profit and EBITDA levels, building on order wins recorded over the
We are reviewing our model on the name post the conference call held yesterday. Our fundamental view remains the same but see talks of an early refinance as
An improving Gross Profit margin driven by further efficiencies has led to higher EBITDA. This was also aided by slightly higher volumes making the
Headline numbers from Friday’s release are strong, with the Gross Profit margin inflated by a reversal of the IAS 37 impact. Despite this reversal from Q1 23, the Gross Profit margin
Tesla are stopping production in their Berlin factory from Jan 29th to Feb 11th due to the disruption in the supply chain from the ongoing conflict in the
We have recently updated our model on Standard Profil, so post Q3 numbers, here is a short update.
Nothing in this set of numbers is going to change the fundamentals for Standard Profil. The business continues to make small progress, and we can
The Company released its Q3 numbers last night, ahead of its investor call next week. Headlines will be favourable, with EBITDA up to
Please find our updated analysis on Standard Profil here.
We didn’t update our model post-Q2 numbers as the actual numbers were in line with our model. There is a summary below but we are more focused on the upcoming quarters and fast-forwarding to FY25 when refinancing will be required. The business
Standard Profil released their Q2 numbers which are ahead of their guidance given earlier this year. On the back of the numbers and slightly better underlying
Please find our updated model here.
Following the release of Q1 numbers, we have re-examined our model in light of Standard Profil’s updated guidance. We have increased our revenue and EBITDA expectation, but we can’t match the Company’s guidance of
Standard Profil is holding their Q1 conference call at 1 pm today. This will be an upbeat call following the confirmation of the passthrough agreement with customers for
Standard Profil will hold their Q1 call on Wednesday at 1 pm, and we expect management to strike an upbeat tone on future revenue growth. This is
Standard Profil reported their Q1 numbers but they are largely impacted by the previously reported additional €15m of additional compensation received in
Please find our updated model here.
A short note following Standard Profil’s announcement last night, as we published after the Q4 results earlier this month. In line with our expectations that
Please find our updated analysis here.
In the absence of an agreement with the OEMs, it is very difficult to come to a concrete view on Standard Profil. As a reminder, Q4 guidance, given end of November was for a range
Standard Profil reported their Q4 and FY22 numbers over the weekend and will hold their conference call on Thursday at 1 pm UK time. The main headline
European Automotive sales in March are headline-grabbing but are flattered by the war and semiconductor-impacted March 2022 comparisons. However, it is the comparison to
The current strength in the after-sales market in the US is a result of production volumes at the OEMs. Again, we are hearing of further disruptions in
Please find our updated model here.
We maintain our 5% long position in Standard Profil's Senior Secured bond. At current prices, it generates a 26% YTM, but at 60%, this isn't really a yield story. We maintain our view that t