Vonovia’s Q3 results this morning highlights that there remains at least minimal liquidity in the residential market in Germany, with €1.7bn of sales in Q3. Reassuring
Read MoreT1 creditors to the Fürst project under Lietzenburger Straße HoldCo have signed a standstill and lock-up agreement to restructure the company under UK law by
Read MoreThe senior creditors of the Fürst project have committed themselves to inject the fresh cash needed to finish the development. As a result, Aggregate should
Read MorePlease find our existing analyses here: Adler, Aggregate, Casino and Naviera Armas.
It’s time we bring out our dead. To fund new positions, such as Selecta yesterday (see here), we have been clearing out a few positions to make way for new ones, such as
Read MorePlease find our updated analysis of Aggregate here.
The bonds have not bounced following the waiver. Bondholders must fear that they are dominated by a majority that is friendly with the company or holds
Read MoreAs per our last note, bondholders had little option but to give the developer more time to create wealth. Without mentioning concrete figures, Aggregate have
Read MoreWe have been looking through this consent solicitation in our recent analysis and our view remains intact. The solicitation under German WpHG comes 55% pre-agreed, as the
Read MoreAggregate have sold the Crown 1 site of their QH asset. This completes the disposal of the rest-dominated eastern half of the quarter, leaving Aggregate with only the
Read MoreAggregate have extricated themselves from the VIC situation clean. Developer gives up 100% of shares in the Portuguese business and in return benefits
Read MorePlease find our unchanged analysis of Aggregate here.
If a market turns illiquid and assets can’t be monetised, it takes deep connections and high financial structuring expertise to barter with the underlying assets instead. Cevdet Caner has both and that’s Aggregate’s asset. Still, all that glitters is
Read MoreThe sale of its QH project in Berlin seemed to be progressing on Friday with rumours that Aggregate are in talks with Australian Super for all of the remaining project. The Berlin-focused
Read MoreFollowing progress with Vivion involving a successful sale of two QH units, Aggregate has received consent from its VIC lenders to push the
Read MoreAhead of its month-end deadline to repay the VIC bonds, Aggregate are engaging in a notable PR effort aimed at raising the value of their QH and Fürst assets. The signings of high-profile tenants certainly suggest
Read MoreAggregate have signed City Leisure Group (CLG) as anchor tenant for their Fürst project in Berlin. CLG are the organisers of “This is Holland”, a flight simulator
Read MoreThis morning both companies announced a very beneficial deal for both parties. Vivion are buying two properties out of the QH complex for €456m. Half of which roughly will be paid with the 2024 bonds outstanding to Vivion. We are enquiring about the
Read MoreFollowing our note last week, we want to point out that BNP Paribas Real Estate Germany did in fact also released a review of the
Read MoreBNP Paribas have published their half-year review of the German market and it’s very interesting. While large swathes of debt are trading in the 50s and equities are trading
Read MorePlease find our unchanged analysis here.
Some two weeks ago, Rolf Buch, CEO of Vonovia was seen in the China Club in Berlin. As German RE is largely carved up between the members of that club and observing the deluge of deals since then, we have the distinct impression that some deal went down in those days that broadly fits the narrative we have been discussing for some time now, even if we are not sure about this detail or if we are merely seeing ghosts - probably. But even if that’s all idle speculation, it's the absence of certain other news combined with today’s courageous press release that has us going back to the Phoenix.
Read More